Serdar AYDOĞAN

        Last weekend, King Salman of Saudi Arabia said that women will decide what clothes they will wear. It was an unusual sentence. These sentences from the king of a country where sharia rules prevail may seem surprising. There will be no more surprises from now on. Because the Middle East is no longer the realistic war playground of the Western world. The Middle East will no longer be a place where the western world pumps fear to direct politics. It is certain that he will play a more rational role in the new world order. The western-controlled battlefield made its decision. And it opened its arms to the BRICS wind coming from China. Iran and Saudi Arabia are cutting ties with the Western world. They are now BRICS countries.

         The times when people are most dependent on the state are times of war and turmoil. It is not possible for management to implement world peace all over the world. In general, if there is a dominant power in the world, it must also have an unnatural enemy. It is difficult to fight a natural enemy for a long time. It is devastating and tiring. The world learned this painfully until 1950. A way to direct people without a hot war was found and the Cold war was invented.

         A hot war is costly, but a cold war is cheap. In a hot war, people die and it is difficult to keep society alive. During the war period, people live with fear and control is difficult. It is difficult to work as willingly as in the peace period. During war, society wants to meet its primary needs and does not strive for more. But during peacetime, the liberal economy progresses rapidly and the lives of the rich become easier. While a hot war has thousands of bad consequences, a peace period has thousands of benefits. So how long did Earth go without war? 10, 20, 30, ? not more. But with the cold war maybe 100 years. 

        Let’s talk about the benefits of the cold war. States develop theirs military industry without fighting. States produce weapons, train their soldiers, carry out their work in a healthy and systematic manner, and there is no loss of people, weapons or ammunition.

          States are easy to govern .They occasionally bluff a hot war with their shadow enemy and in this way make their politics easier. Every option is more advantageous than a hot war. They continue industrial and production work and easily manage people without losing control. In every negative situation, there is a ready enemy. In every bad situation, the current enemy is blamed. The scapegoat is there.

         The pricing of oil is as important as the need for oil. Moreover, if the oil fields have not been protected by a strong state for a long time, a shadow enemy is needed. This is Iran.

If a company is waiting for the abundance of oil resources and expected production, these countries would be Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar.

          Iran will not play this game anymore. Iran, the closed box whose people were designed by the West, is now opening up to the world. Now Iran, which has always been distant from states and has cold relations, is opening up to the world. The chronic enemy of America and Europe wants to exist peacefully and in the world economy. Why did Iran appear hostile to the West and become a feared country in the Middle East? It was known that Iran would be self-sufficient with its oil reserves. It was managed with self-sufficient resources in accordance with the given role.

Because it was a Middle Eastern country, it was a country that could be easily governed with the dominant character of the state. In this region, it has become capable of attacking the countries around it at any time. It was easy to achieve this with sharia. It was received cautiously by every neighboring country. The West and Iran were the most sought-after enemies with the fear of cold winds and sometimes hot conflict. In the last 40 years, the oil market with Iran has always been kept high. Because oil was the most easily obtained natural wealth of the last 50 years. It was an asset that had a ready market, was easy to sell and transport, and was in demand every second. If it remained on oil finances, it was due to the taunts between Iran and the USA. This is no longer necessary. There will be almost no oil left in the next 20-30 years. The agreed hostility between Iran and the USA no longer matters. Iran is giving up the agreed hostility with the USA because it knows that it will no longer be able to benefit from the benefits of oil. With BRICS, it will transition to the world reserve currency and offer new options to its young people. In this path, in the coming years, it will depart from sharia laws and emphasize democracy and human rights. Concepts that will move away from Iran in the near future: sharia, execution, exile, headscarf, closed box, cold enemy, Iranian agents, religious organizations, religious communities. long beards, morality police, revolutionary guards

       Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar maintained direct trade relations with the United States. Even though they were like Iran in their lifestyle, their kings produced oil with US companies. He kept his people living in prosperity. The curtailment of freedoms did not cause any problems for the people. money provided freedom very easily. With the understanding of Sharia, men were not restricted from freedoms. While women were expected to be disturbed by this situation, they lived with the intoxication of wealth with their unlimited shopping. Now, among these states, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are about to end their marriage with the USA because they are now BRICS states. They need a democratic country that will keep their money safer, without waiting for the oil era to end. Freedom of headscarf was also announced a month later, as it is a BRICS country. From now on, the Middle East will be the place of new discourses. Middle East oil will be produced for China and India from now on, and perhaps barrel prices will be very different from today. Middle Eastern countries began covering their countries with panels that produce solar energy. Because they will have the most right to energy. Per capita energy consumption is above European averages. The vehicles are 3000 cc and not like Japanese vehicles.

       As a result, the USA and Europe have been constantly waging civil wars for years to bring democracy to the Middle East. Democracy never came. But many people died. All countries except Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Iran lived with blood and tears. But these states were enemies, but there was no war. The middle east is now under BRICS control. Democracy will come not from the west, but from the east, and from China and India, which are not democrats at all. It will come from Russia, from above and below. The only country that will be left alone here will be Israel. There will never be a pro-Western country in this region. Turkey, the last country in the east that is a NATO member, will also find its own way. It will break away from the West and move closer to the East, which will be the beginning of a painful process.